Phone Numbers

I don’t think you are going to receive annual phonebooks/doorstops in the year 2020. By this time, almost everyone will be using smart phones, and those that are using them will likely be using some version of VoIP to make calls. As video calls become more common, they already are overseas, it will be impossible to continue routing voice traffic separately.


    Gas Stations

I sincerely believe that cheap Chinese batteries and cars are going to make electric committing the norm, not the exception. If you don’t mind paying $5 to $10 a gallon for gas in the future that will be your choice but electric cars with longer range, high torque, and solar panels will be a tempting option.



I think desktops are already recognized as on their way out but I think tablets will soon replace laptops the same way laptops phased out their own big brothers. The main limitations for tablets is currently I/O, meaning getting information in and seeing in on a small screen. I think that handwriting and voice recognition will solve the former and that flexible displays and laser pico-projectors will solve the latter.



What? After all the broken promises about a paperless office, how can we have a cashless society? I think the benefits to NFC and cloud services like PayPal will so outweigh any benefits of cash that everyone but the most marginalized will stop using cash of any kind. Imagine using your phone to buy your plane ticket in USD then buy yourself a plate of street food with it when you arrive in Beijing using Yuan without ever touching either currency.


    The 9 to 5 job

This is perhaps a little crazier but it is based on my own experience working abroad and remotely.

    The World is Flat

also supports the idea that we will be working where needed, when needed, both on our terms and the terms of our employer(s). I don’t see how the standard 40 hour, Monday to Friday work week can persist in an always on web world where there is no single start or end of a day.