Watching Apple


“If you left your home, and you left your smartphone and had to drive 20 minutes, would you go back and get it? Yes,” Cohen said. “If you forgot your belt, or you forgot your watch? No. If I created a product that made you as passionate about your watch as you are about your smartphone, that gives you information that gets you through your day, that’s when you know you’ve a made a mass market. The latter is a game changer. The former is an accessory.”

Fossil, which built smart watches in partnership with Sony Ericsson as well as with Microsoft in the last decade, currently has no plans to do more, CEO Kosta Kartsotis said.
“We do have a number of things we’re looking at and watching,” he said on a recent conference call. Still, he added, conventional watches are “a much bigger opportunity.”

“Apple can merge fashion with function,” said Marshal Cohen, an analyst at NPD Group. “An Apple watch could triple the size of the watch business in a year or two. They have the opportunity to get everyone that owns a cell phone to go out and buy another watch.”

So to me, what the above analysts are pointing to is that an iWatch is inevitable, likely to replace the iPhone and certainly to be highly profitable. The killer app may be FaceTime, which is rarely used on iPhones but would be logical on a wristwatch which already has a “face”.


Five (5) things that will be hard to find in 2020


    Phone Numbers

I don’t think you are going to receive annual phonebooks/doorstops in the year 2020. By this time, almost everyone will be using smart phones, and those that are using them will likely be using some version of VoIP to make calls. As video calls become more common, they already are overseas, it will be impossible to continue routing voice traffic separately.


    Gas Stations

I sincerely believe that cheap Chinese batteries and cars are going to make electric committing the norm, not the exception. If you don’t mind paying $5 to $10 a gallon for gas in the future that will be your choice but electric cars with longer range, high torque, and solar panels will be a tempting option.



I think desktops are already recognized as on their way out but I think tablets will soon replace laptops the same way laptops phased out their own big brothers. The main limitations for tablets is currently I/O, meaning getting information in and seeing in on a small screen. I think that handwriting and voice recognition will solve the former and that flexible displays and laser pico-projectors will solve the latter.



What? After all the broken promises about a paperless office, how can we have a cashless society? I think the benefits to NFC and cloud services like PayPal will so outweigh any benefits of cash that everyone but the most marginalized will stop using cash of any kind. Imagine using your phone to buy your plane ticket in USD then buy yourself a plate of street food with it when you arrive in Beijing using Yuan without ever touching either currency.


    The 9 to 5 job

This is perhaps a little crazier but it is based on my own experience working abroad and remotely.

    The World is Flat

also supports the idea that we will be working where needed, when needed, both on our terms and the terms of our employer(s). I don’t see how the standard 40 hour, Monday to Friday work week can persist in an always on web world where there is no single start or end of a day.

Quad Core Galaxy S III

This is all supposed to go down in July with the possibility of Visa branded NFC.

Possible specs:
4.6-inch Super AMOLED Plus screen at 1,280×720-pixel resolution
1.8GHz chip with 2GB RAM for zippy multitasking and games
Android 4.0 Ice Cream Sandwich with a refreshed TouchWiz skin
Camera-quality 12-megapixel photos
Styled like the Galaxy Nexus


Samsung Galaxy S III (or What Dreams May Come)

From Engadget: “1.8GHz dual-core Exynos 4212 CPU with 2GB of RAM and a 12 megapixel rear-facing camera. Oh, and a 4.6-inch Super AMOLED Plus HD…”

That pretty much exceeds the specs for the Sony-Ericsson’s 2009 future-phone prediction. Still waiting for specs on the rumored flexible screen Samsung.

Samsung Galaxy Nexus is the 99%

Here is the prediction that Sony-Ericsson made in 2009:

And here are the specs for Google/Samsung’s new phone:

Aside from the disappointing camera resolution, it meets or exceeds every requirement for the phone of the future.

This is the Android app I’m working on right now. It downloads stock quotes via Yahoo’s REST web service then displays a custom graph of the data from Google Chart API. Right now I’m working on fixing bugs and the UI. The next step is to add more features so that people will actually downloaded once it’s uploaded to my Market account. It will be free and not ad supported.

YQL is Yahoo’s SQL

If you want to consume any of the numerous Yahoo RESTful web services such as Yahoo Finance you will have to use their proprietary version of SQL. If you know SQL it’s easy. You can download the data in JSON or XML. One issue I did find is that after lots of requests the server will sometimes block you or ask you to sign in with a Yahoo ID. There’s a convenient web interface you can use to format and test your requests:
Yahoo Developer Console

Happy coding!

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